Semi-finals
France vs Spain
Prediction, head-to-head and team comparison · FIFA World Cup 2026.
What's at stake
Semi-finals · FIFA World Cup 2026.
⚡ Knockout match — the winner advances to the Final; the loser is eliminated. If still level after 90 minutes, it goes to extra time and, if needed, a penalty shootout.
Match Preview
France (1st, 9 pts in Group I) take on Spain (1st, 7 pts) in Semi-finals at the FIFA World Cup 2026. With the group stage reaching its decisive phase, the outcome will have major consequences for qualification. Our model gives Spain a 45% chance of winning — see the prediction below. One to watch: Kylian Mbappé (2 goals) for France.
Match prediction
France
10%
Draw
45%
Spain
45%
Our read
Combo Double chance : draw or Spain and -3.5 goals
Team comparison
50%Form50%
54%Attack46%
50%Defence50%
0%Poisson100%
20%Head-to-head80%
42.2%Overall57.8%
Recent head-to-head
5 Jun 2025
Spain
5–4
France
9 Jul 2024
Spain
2–1
France
10 Oct 2021
Spain
1–2
France
28 Mar 2017
France
0–2
Spain
23 Jun 2012
Spain
2–0
France