Round of 16
Portugal vs Spain
Prediction, head-to-head and team comparison · FIFA World Cup 2026.
What's at stake
Round of 16 · FIFA World Cup 2026.
⚡ Knockout match — the winner advances to the Quarter-finals; the loser is eliminated. If still level after 90 minutes, it goes to extra time and, if needed, a penalty shootout.
Match Preview
Portugal (2nd, 5 pts in Group K) take on Spain (1st, 7 pts) in Round of 16 at the FIFA World Cup 2026. With the group stage reaching its decisive phase, the outcome will have major consequences for qualification. Our model gives Spain a 45% chance of winning — see the prediction below.
Match prediction
Portugal
10%
Draw
45%
Spain
45%
Our read
Combo Double chance : draw or Spain and -3.5 goals
Team comparison
44%Form56%
50%Attack50%
0%Defence100%
0%Poisson100%
50%Head-to-head50%
48.5%Overall51.5%
Recent head-to-head
8 Jun 2025
Portugal
2–2
Spain
27 Sept 2022
Portugal
0–1
Spain
2 Jun 2022
Spain
1–1
Portugal
4 Jun 2021
Spain
0–0
Portugal
7 Oct 2020
Portugal
0–0
Spain
5 Jun 2020
Spain
-–-
Portugal
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