Group Stage - 3
Ecuador vs Germany
Prediction, head-to-head and team comparison · FIFA World Cup 2026.
Match Odds
Ecuador5.00
Draw3.70
Germany1.67
Odds by Bet365 (pre-match). Not a recommendation.
What's at stake
Final group game — both teams' Round of 32 hopes on the line.
Match Preview
Ecuador (3rd, 1 pt in Group E) take on Germany (1st, 6 pts) in Group Stage - 3 at the FIFA World Cup 2026 at MetLife Stadium, New York New Jersey. With the group stage reaching its decisive phase, the outcome will have major consequences for qualification. Our model gives Germany a 45% chance of winning — see the prediction below. One to watch: K. Havertz (2 goals) for Germany.
Match prediction
Ecuador
10%
Draw
45%
Germany
45%
Our read
Winner : Germany
Team comparison
14%Form86%
0%Attack100%
67%Defence33%
40.5%Overall59.5%